Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.391772 0.428669 0.468060 0.513335 0.564053 0.619246 0.684030
2026-01-11 0.332745 0.384483 0.443520 0.516277 0.604086 0.707339 0.838975
2026-01-18 0.297523 0.356518 0.426924 0.517961 0.633746 0.777704 0.972780
2026-01-25 0.273461 0.337309 0.416301 0.522515 0.663596 0.847442 1.109991
2026-02-01 0.248500 0.313712 0.396766 0.512065 0.670815 0.886007 1.207402
2026-02-08 0.232931 0.300347 0.388526 0.514619 0.694185 0.946892 1.341008
2026-02-15 0.217523 0.285659 0.376864 0.510719 0.707122 0.992985 1.456720
2026-02-22 0.206191 0.275449 0.370194 0.512713 0.727895 1.051456 1.597026
2026-03-01 0.193726 0.262667 0.358780 0.506516 0.735301 1.089490 1.707996
2026-03-08 0.182223 0.250418 0.347140 0.498791 0.739204 1.121649 1.811949
2026-03-15 0.169774 0.236005 0.331338 0.483387 0.729381 1.130134 1.874962
2026-03-22 0.165068 0.232607 0.331543 0.492599 0.759631 1.207435 2.070215
2026-03-29 0.159687 0.227984 0.329732 0.498685 0.785606 1.280711 2.269564
2026-04-05 0.153918 0.222435 0.326135 0.501570 0.806344 1.346828 2.464570
2026-04-12 0.148341 0.216832 0.322041 0.503196 0.824792 1.410287 2.662834
2026-04-19 0.143802 0.212568 0.319759 0.507592 0.848346 1.485400 2.896238
2026-04-26 0.136600 0.203703 0.309510 0.497504 0.844466 1.507046 3.016081
2026-05-03 0.132429 0.199475 0.306592 0.499970 0.864053 1.576777 3.254509
2026-05-10 0.127351 0.193513 0.300442 0.496204 0.871335 1.622096 3.442757
2026-05-17 0.123666 0.189646 0.297580 0.498129 0.889702 1.692134 3.701787
2026-05-24 0.118809 0.183604 0.290684 0.492146 0.891808 1.727552 3.879663
2026-05-31 0.114001 0.177434 0.283256 0.484686 0.890287 1.754789 4.040679
2026-06-07 0.108241 0.169421 0.272252 0.469808 0.872373 1.743656 4.097394